Week 5 picks

Northwestern to cover, getting 10, vs the Illini in Champaign (o/u 51)

The 10 seems really high to me. I know it is Persa’s first game back and the Illini have a signature W over the Sun Devils. But they struggled with Western Michigan last week, and the Wildcats had the day off. If I have a chance to take Pat Fitzgerald after a bye week and you are giving me 10, I will take it.

 Minnesota to cover, getting 20.5, vs Meeeeechigan in the Big House (O/U 53.5)

I simply refuse to believe that Michigan is any good. They have given up on any kind of balance and their entire team is Shoelace’s running. It is a pathetic joke. I love Jerry Kill and even though the Gophers have been terrible this year, I will take the 20.5 and cross my fingers.

Texas Tech to cover, giving 6.5, to the Jayhawks in Lawrence (o/u 66)

It is going to be a nice day on the plains and the Red Raider offense should have no problem scoring fast and often on the Jayhawks.

Stanford to cover, giving 21.5, to the Bruins in Palo Alto (o/u 55)

Take Luck and the Cardinal until you get burned. The Bruins are disaster and unfortunately the Ricky era is all but over. The only meaningful question regarding the Bruin football program is that with the conference upheaval, Kellen Moore’s and the ridiculous Boise State NCAA punishment, will this be the offseason the Chris Petersen finally leave the blue turf for Pasadena. Does a national championship appearance help or hurt that cause.

HONCHO Special Spread of the Week

Tide to cover, giving 4, to the Gators in the Swamp (o/u 44.5)

This line should be ten, the Gators haven’t played anybody worth a shit yet and Saban and the Tide D relish opportunities like this. Yard after catch will not be available for the Gators microbacks and if they take shots down the field, bad things are going to happen. Was thinking hard about the under, but the chance that either the Tide offense gets hot or the Gators get a D/ST touch are little bit too high.

 The Dawgs, giving 7, to Miss. State between the Hedges (o/u 53)

Mississippi State maybe awful and not everybody realizes it yet. By no means is this Georgia team any good, but they do enough things well, especially running with their frosh back, that they should cover the 7 at home.

 STAY AWAY, SERIOUSLY, STAY AWAY

Clemson at Va Tech with the Hokies getting 7

I was extremely jacked up to see this line and go heavy on the Hokies, but C’MON. They have played the equivalent of Jim Boheim’s traditional Nov/Dec schedule. Clemson is coming off two big wins but Lane Stadium has traditionally been a house of horrors for them especially after a big win. I was looking for the Hokies by 3, the 7 is ridiculous. But can’t take Clemson.

Wisconsin to cover, giving 10, vs the Huskers in Madison (o/u 56)

I think Wisconsin is the one team that has a chance to beat the winner of the Nov.5 game against Bama and the Bengals. Their ability to run on demand and then strike big off a play action, makes them extremely dangerous. Nebraska’s D has not been able to take the fight to their opponents and I think they will get pushed around. Taylor Martinez will make some errors and Wisconsin will cover the 10.

Irish to cover, giving 12, vs the Boilermakers in West Lafayette (o/u 48)

I was in West Lafayette last Friday and ended up watching practice. The Boilermakers are awful.

Picks week 4

Haven't had a chance to write much the past couple of weeks. That will change next week. Look for a recap on my horrible start, thoughts on the season so far, expanded picks, and a couple non CF posts. Here are the picks for today.

Duke -10 over Tulane
Toledo getting 2 over Cuse
Illinois giving 14 over Western Michigan
Georgia giving 10 against the Rebels in Oxford
Army giving 4 against Ball State
Arkansas getting 11 in Ttown against the Tide
Washington PK over Cal in Seattle
Florida Kentucky over 44
Irish to cover the 7 against Pitt
Vandy getting 15.5 in Columbia against the Cocks
Ok State getting 4.5 in Kiel against the Aggies
Oklahoma giving 19.5 against the Tigers
Oregon giving 15.5 against Zona


Very pissed off that guaranteed cover Andrew Luck is off

Week 2 Update

Added another game. Taking the Wolfpack to cover the 1.5 against the Deacs in Winston Salem. Getting absolutely murdered this week. I have only learned one lesson so far.....

The PAC 12 is pathetic. Outside of Oregon and Stanford, these teams are a complete joke. They have decent QBs but they are undisciplined, sloppy, unmotivated and weak. Their Dlines are atrociously bad. Not only are they feeble and incapable of winning one on one battles, they run these awful stunts that take four full seconds to develop and still get blocked by backs and TEs. Will stay away from these teams and start hammering the overs. I would rather watch a geriatric orgy than these teams play D.

Will need all and more of the 3 game cushion I gave myself last week to stick around .500. Absolutely awful.

Wisconsin is awesome.

Week 2 picks

Strong start to the season with a 6-3 record. Picked 10 games this week, went with 9 favorites and only one dog, Arizona tonight. Have two new additions. The first is the “Spite Pick of the Week.” I am going to pick against a team that screwed me last week. The second and most exciting is the “Mike Honcho Spread of the Week”. In honor of the great Cal Naughton’s alter ego, I will pick between two major powers with a spread of 4 or less. This week you get 2 Honcho specials.

Arizona to cover, getting 14, against the Pokes in the House that T. Boone Built (0/U 66.5)

Nick Foles is a good QB going against a historically suspect D. I usually have a rule against betting against home teams on Thursday night, but the 14 is too many. There is always a chance that old man Weeden and the second best NFL prospect in all of college football, Justin Blackmon, turn this into a statement game and blow the doors off Stoops and the Desert Cats. But look for the Pokes to win by 8 to 11 points.

Spite Pick of the Week

I am so god damn pissed at the Missouri Tigers for not covering against the Miami of Ohio Redhawks. That I am going against them out of sheer principal.

Sun Devils to cover, giving 7.5, vs Mizzou in the Desert (O/U 52.5)

Also Vontaze Burfict is an absolute assassin and the Giant QB should be able to put points on the board at home.

Badgers to cover, giving 20.5, vs the Badgers in Camp Randall (O/U 57)

The Badger offense is a close to unstoppable as you can be, the only teams with a shot would Ds that have DLineman that can win 1 on 1 battles and make plays in the backfield (i.e. LSU, BAMA, Nebraska, Boise). The Beavers are not one of those teams. Also Bielema has zero problem running up the score and the Badger D has a lot to prove after getting shredded by the UNLV offense.

Buckeyes to cover, giving 18.5, vs the Rockets in the Shoe (O/U 50)

I hate myself for going against the Rockets, but it is the Buckeyes at home giving less than 3 TDs against the MAC. The shared QB duties worry me a bit, Braxton Miller looked a little shaky last week but the relatively low number gives me solace.

Miss. State to cover, giving 6.5, vs War Eagle in AllBarn (O/U 57)

I think the 6.5 is too high for the line, but the bottom line is I think that Miss. State is good and that Allbarn is bad.

The Ducks to cover, giving 26.5, vs Nevada in Autzen (O/U 63)

Back home after a brutal loss in Dallas, playing a team that will not be able to run with them or punch them in mouth…..if the line was 35 I would still take the Ducks

Stanford to cover, giving 21, vs Duke in Nifong’s District (O/U 58.5)

Andrew Luck and his Masters Degree in Quarterbacking coming east to face a coach who knows a little bit about college QBs (see Manning Brothers). Luck will walk out of Wallace Wade with a few more credits toward his PhD.

Tide to cover, giving 10, vs Nittany Lions in the Valley (O/U 42)

Again I am concerned about Nicktator splitting the QB duties between McCarron and Simms but I expect Bolden to give up a D touchdown to the exceptional Tide back 7.

“Mike Honcho’s Spread of the Week”

Irish to cover, giving 3, vs Michigan at night in the Big House (O/U 55)

In Rees we trust. The Irish outgained USF by 2 to 1, sloppy plays and turnovers were the death of them. On the bright sides they showed a potent running game early and their defense kept them in the football game (although those back to back face mask penalties were horrendous). I don’t know what to expect from the Wolverines except that they need Denard to get loose and will have trouble stopping anybody.

Bonus Honcho

Gamecocks to cover, giving 3, vs the Dawgs between the Hedges (O/U 51.5)

I feel like this game should be a stay away because I don’t know if I can trust the HBC with his QBs and I think Georgia has a game in them that would give the Cocks trouble, BUT C’MON MAN got to have action on this one. I will roll with Stephen Garcia, Lattimore, and Alshon Jefferies and take my chances.