Saturday, October 22, 2011

week 8 picks

Below are the week 8 picks. I couldn't finish the write up because I was drinking and yelling at Holgerson last night and this morning I had to change a car battery. Excited for the games today, going to be a lot of fun.

Illinois to cover, giving 4, to Purdue in West Lafayette (o/u 51.5)
The Purdue D cannot do what the Buckeye D did to the Illini. However, the Illini D can damn sure have a repeat performance against the Boilermakers.
Arkansas to cover, giving 15.5, to the Rebels in Oxford (o/u 56.5)
Arkansas is the 3rd best team in the SEC and the Rebels are the one of the worst teams the SEC has seen in a decade.
Clemson to cover, giving 10.5, to the Heels in Death Valley (o/u 58)
The Tigers had a scare in College Park last week, the Heels just are not good enough to give them another one in Death Valley.
Oklahoma St. to cover, giving 7, in Columbia to Mizzou (o/u 69)
This line does not make a whole lot of sense. I probably would have grabbed the Pokes at 17.5. Brock Osweiler and the Sun Devils moved the ball all over the Tigers and Oklahoma State is stratospheres better. Weeden and Blackmon are outstanding.
Oklahoma State/Mizzou over 69
See above. Plus James Franklin will make plays against the Pokes D.
Oregon State to cover, getting 3, in Pullman against Wazzu (o/u 59)

Northwestern to cover, getting 4.5, in Evanston against the Nittany Lions (o/u 47.5)
Northwestern to Win (+165)
Alabama to cover, giving 29.5, against the Vols at Bryant-Denney (o/u 46)
USC/Notre Dame over 57.5
Stanford to cover, giving 20.5, to Washington on the Farm (o/u 63)
LSU to cover, giving 20.5, to AllBarn in Baton Rouge (o/u 47.5)
Badgers to cover, giving 7.5, in East Lansing against Sparty (o/u 50)
Wisconsin/Sparty over 50

Saturday, October 15, 2011

Week 7 Picks


Wisconsin to cover, giving 39.5, against Indiana in Madison (O/U 61)
Ummmmm…Badgers at home…..they put up 82 on the Hoosiers last year….Bielema loves running up the score.

Wisconsin/Hoosiers OVER 61
Might hit it in a shut out

Toledo Rockets to cover, giving 8.5, against and in Bowling Green (60.5)
Rockets are finally figuring out how to put some teams away. They are playing 20 minutes from home and will ruin BG’s homecoming.

Clemson to cover, giving 8, in College Park against the Terps (53.5)
I have been burned so many times taking Clemson on the road over the years. But you can’t help but feel this a different situation after punching Beamer and the Hokies in the face in Blacksburg. Taj Boyd has a hip issue but he did practice all week. Sammy Watkins will get loose a few times.

Oregon to cover, giving 14, in Autzen against the Sun Devils (O/U 66.5)
Even without LaMichael James, Oregon has to get more that 14 in Autzen unless #12 in Red is walking in.

Oregon/Sun Devils OVER 66.5
Ducks at home plus Brock Osweiler

Baylor to cover, getting 8, in College Station against the Aggies (O/U 76)
I am done with the Aggies. Still like Tanneyhill, but Sherman is a disaster. I think RG3 will bring this one home for the Bears, so I love getting 8.

LSU to cover, giving 17.5, in Neyland against the Vols (O/U 46)
The Hatter and the Honey Badger against a back up QB? Chalk it up.

Honcho Spread of the Week
Illinois to cover, giving 3.5, in Champaign against the Buckeyes (O/U 45)
Miller has a high ankle sprain and the Buckeyes are in disarray. Illini stops the run and can make plays/stops on D.

Illini Buckeyes UNDER 45
I am very concerned about the Buckeyes inability to score on the Illini

ALLBARN to cover, getting 2, against the Gators in ALLBARN (O/U 50.5)
Freshmen QBs on the road against the Tigers and they are getting 2? This game should be a PK, I’ll take the two and the home conference dog.

Alabama to cover, giving 27.5, in Oxford against the Rebels (O/U 44.5)
HOTTY TODDY, GOSH ALMIGHTY…..this is going to be a prison rape. I am done underestimating the Tide O.

Stanford to cover, giving 20.5, in Pullman against the Cougars (O/U 63.5)
Luck and that Cardinal D against a team that blows and I am giving less than 3 TDs. IT’S A BINGO!!!!!!

Oklahoma State, giving 7, in Austin against the Horns (O/U 64.5)
This morning on GameDay Brad Edwards said that the Cowboys control their own destiny for the National Title. They are going to be jacked up. It won’t be necessary. Weeden’s accuracy against the green Horn secondary will help easily cover that 7.

Saturday, October 8, 2011

Week 6 picks


Below are the week Six picks, lines are getting tougher and not too many teams are undervalued. I think that Georgia, KState and Pittsburgh have not gotten enough respect from the bookmakers. Happy Hunting. Still planning on getting some non-football related posts up soon. Trying to figure out how to review TV and Movies.

Oklahoma to cover, giving 11, at the State Fair against the Horns (O/U 59)
I don’t think the Horns are good enough to hang with the Sooners. They haven’t played anybody yet and have two young QBs facing the best D in the Big XII. Oklahoma has to realize that this is an important statement game with LSU and Bama flying by them in the polls and Wisconsin threatening. Broyles will find the end zone multiple time.

Indiana to cover, getting 14, in Bloomington against the Illini (O/U 53.5)
Three reasons….1) Illini has the tendency to play down to the level of their competition. 2) Bloomington has been a house of horrors for Illini over the past few years. 3) I believe that Kevin Wilson is a good offense coach and can get some points put on the board.

Alabama Vandy over 41.5
Alabama has been a great call this year, but 29 is big number in a conference game for anybody but Stanford, Wisconsin, and Oregon. I think the over of 41.5 is the safer, smarter call.

West Virginia to cover, giving 20, in Morgantown against UCONN (O/U 58)
The Mountaineers are a good football team and UCONN is not. They are at home and need to build back up after getting humped by the Bayou Bengals. They want to make a statement and reestablish themselves as the favorite for the Orange Bowl. Holgerson and Geno Smith will put some points up.

Pitt to cover, giving 7, in Piscataway against the Scarlet Knights (O/U 52.5)
Rutgers blows.

Arkansas to cover, giving 10, against ALLBARN in Little Rock (O/U 64)
A young Tiger team on the road against a quality opponent….we saw what happened in Death Valley. Petrino, Tyler Wilson, and those Hogs receivers will be too much for War Eagle to handle.

Arkansas Auburn over 64
There was 317 points scored in this game last year. Petrino and Malzahn against 64, every single fucking day.

Stanford to cover, giving 29.5, against the Buffs in Palo Alto (O/U 61.5)
One of the most underrated pleasures of this year is watching Luck get late Sixes to cover theses rising lines. Ride him until he breaks.

Mike Honcho Spread of the Week
Georgia to cover, giving 3, in Kville against the Vols (O/U 55)
This Georgia team will beat mediocre football teams. Murray and Crowell will take this game by the throat and bring it home for the Dawgs.

Texas AM to cover, giving 9.5, in Lubbock against the Raiders (O/U 72)
I still think the Aggies are a good football team. They come off two heartbreakers and need this game more than anybody needs a W this week.

Kansas State to cover, getting 4, in the Little Apple against Mizzou (O/U 54)
KState beat Baylor, now they have a worse team coming into their house and they are getting points. Bruce Snyder really needs to get more credit, that guys wins a ton of football games. But because he gets fat off of JUCO transfers and sets his hat in Manhattan, KS, he doesn’t get any respect.