Week 11 Picks

Louisville, giving 3, to cover in Papa John’s against Pitt (44)

Bet against Louisville a few times and have gotten burned. Pitt is awful on the road and may just be bad. Teddy Bridgewater is starting to make plays for the Cardinals and Charlie Strong’s D is putting hats on people.

Ohio State, giving 3, to cover in West Lafayette against the Boilermakers (46)

Braxton Miller and the Buckeye offense has put up points consistently the past few weeks and the Silver Bullet D has been strong all season. The Boilermakers have a couple of decent wins that I didn’t think they could get. But the Buckeyes aren’t the Gophers or the Illini.

Illinois, PK, to win at home against the Wolverines (48)

Denard Robinson and the Wolverines are bad in November and bad on the road. Illini Defense is tailor made to contain Denard’s scrambling and his arm has been embarrassingly bad. The Illini O will make enough plays to win comfortably.

NC State, giving 2.5, to cover in Chestnut Hill against BC (45.5)

Mike Glennon has been playing well all season and TOB’s homecoming will provide the Pack with extra motivation to get this win on the road.

Baylor, giving 20.5, to cover in Lawrence against the Jayhawks (75)

RG3 is special and should be able to throw up a bunch on the Jayhawks.

Missouri, getting 1.5, to cover in Columbia against the Longhorns (59)

Texas is a different (read: much worse) team on the road. James Franklin is a difficult QB to deal with and should be able to pull of the upset as the home dog.

TCU, getting 16, to cover in Idaho against the Broncos (58)

These teams have played a lot in the last few years. I love Gary Patterson as a coach and have faith that he comes up with a game plan to keep this close. I am FULLY aware that I am breaking one of my rules of not betting against Kellen Moore and Chris Petersen.

Georgia, giving 12.5, to cover in Athens against War Eagle (53)

Georgia seems to be find the best version of themselves lately. It still isn’t good enough to be beat a team worth a shit, but they are the best mediocre SEC team. Maybe the best by far. ALLBARN’s QB issues really bother me.

Stanford, giving 3, to cover on the Farm against the Ducks (68)

Andrew Luck, Stanford’s power, and Oregon’s recent injury issues makes the difference.

Bama, giving 18, to cover in Starksville against Miss. State (43)

The Bama D might cover the spread themselves.

Northwestern, giving 17, to cover in Evanston against Rice (68.5)

I think the win in Lincoln help this Wildcat team turn a corner that they should have turned 6 weeks ago. They can move the ball on anyone and now finish with 6. Their D is making stops and big plays.